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The Signal and The Noise

Nate silver the signal and the noise

The Signal and The Noise : Why Most Predictions Fail – but Some Don't is a book by Nate Silver detailing the art of using probability and statistics as applied to real-world circumstances.

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This remarkable book, authored by Kwame Anthony Appiah who has roots in Ghana, might change the way you understand human behavior and the way social reform is brought about. In arguing that new democratic movements over the last century have not been driven by legislation from above, Appiah explores the end of the duel in aristocratic England, the tumultuous struggles over footbinding in nineteenth-century China, the uprising of ordinary people against Atlantic slavery, and the horrors of "honor killing" in contemporary Pakistan. Intertwining philosophy and historical narrative, he has created a fascinating study of moral evolution that demonstrates the critical role honor plays a in the struggle against man's inhumanity to man. Available as e-book in Kindle for INR 660. By the way, Appiah writes the popular ‘Ethicist’ column in ‘The New York Times Magazine’.

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A one-volume reference to the history of ideas that is a compendium of everything that humankind has thought, invented, created, considered, and perfected from the beginning of civilization into the twenty-first century. Massive in its scope, and yet accessible, "A History of Knowledge" covers not only all the great theories and discoveries of the human race, but also explores the social conditions, political climates, and individual men and women of genius that brought ideas to fruition throughout history. By the way, Charles Van Doren was once editorial director of the Encyclopedia Britannica.

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This is an introductory textbook on probability and induction written by one of the world's foremost philosophers of science. The book has been designed to offer maximal accessibility to the widest range of students (not only those majoring in philosophy) and assumes no formal training in elementary symbolic logic. It offers a comprehensive course covering all basic definitions of induction and probability, and considers such topics as decision theory, Bayesianism, frequency ideas, and the philosophical problem of induction.

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